Reading 41 of CFAI Materials
Review of Dupont Analysis
- ROA = Net profit margin * revenues/avg total assets
- Net profit margin breaks down further
- Net profit margin = operating profit margin * income before taxes / operating income * (1 - taxes / income before taxes)
- Income before taxes / operating income is the effect of nonoperating expenses - critical value is 1
- ROE = Net income / average shareholders' equity
- ROE = net profit margin * revenue / average total assets * average total assets / average shareholders' equity
- Can again expand out net profit margin
- This is the 5 part dupont
- Can compare Duponts of different companies to compare what they do differently and how ROA and ROE are composed
Pro Forma Analysis
- Forecasting income statements and balance sheets
- Some factors are tied to revenues, others are not
- Sales driven factors
- COGS as a percent of sales
- Opex as a percent of sales
- Current assets and current liabilities as a percent of sales
- Fixed burdens
- Primarily interest and taxes
- Taxes as a percent of taxable likely to remain same
- Interest is a function of capital structure - if it will not change, just use past interest expense
- Revenues
- Strictly using growth from past periods does not take into account other factors that impact revenues
- Product mix might change
- Try to build up by forecasting segment by segment
- Will depend on capital structure - need some assumption about what happens with excess funds and how deficits are financed
- Using a surplus to pay down debt will also decrease interest expense, and there will still be a small surplus - so you have to use this surplus to again pay down the debt
- If the assumption instead was that you would maintain total debt/total equity relationship, you would use the surplus to buy back stock and it would balance
End
7:00 pm
1 hour
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