Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Corporate Finance - Financial Statement Analysis

6:00 pm

Reading 41 of CFAI Materials
Review of Dupont Analysis

  • ROA = Net profit margin * revenues/avg total assets
  • Net profit margin breaks down further
    • Net profit margin = operating profit margin * income before taxes / operating income * (1 - taxes / income before taxes)
      • Income before taxes / operating income is the effect of nonoperating expenses - critical value is 1
  • ROE = Net income / average shareholders' equity
    • ROE = net profit margin * revenue / average total assets * average total assets / average shareholders' equity
    • Can again expand out net profit margin
    • This is the 5 part dupont
  • Can compare Duponts of different companies to compare what they do differently and how ROA and ROE are composed
Pro Forma Analysis
  • Forecasting income statements and balance sheets
  • Some factors are tied to revenues, others are not
  • Sales driven factors
    • COGS as a percent of sales
    • Opex as a percent of sales
    • Current assets and current liabilities as a percent of sales
  • Fixed burdens
    • Primarily interest and taxes
    • Taxes as a percent of taxable likely to remain same
    • Interest is a function of capital structure - if it will not change, just use past interest expense
  • Revenues
    • Strictly using growth from past periods does not take into account other factors that impact revenues
    • Product mix might change
    • Try to build up by forecasting segment by segment
Interest/iterations
  • Will depend on capital structure - need some assumption about what happens with excess funds and how deficits are financed
  • Using a surplus to pay down debt will also decrease interest expense, and there will still be a small surplus - so you have to use this surplus to again pay down the debt
  • If the assumption instead was that you would maintain total debt/total equity relationship, you would use the surplus to buy back stock and it would balance
End
7:00 pm
1 hour

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